Putin Just Got Some REALLY Bad News
Paul J. Warburg
9 min
Europe's decision to finally fund a $90 billion loan for Ukraine is actually genius. This really does guarantee a Ukrainian victory so long as it keeps up.
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Vladimir Putin
Chapters
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0:00
Europe's $90 Billion Loan
Europe has committed to funding a $90 billion loan for Ukraine, which removes financial uncertainty and allows the country to continue fighting Russia for at least two years without budget cuts. The specific structure of the loan, combined with potential future backstops and frozen Russian assets, enables Ukraine to likely fight for another five to eight years without further aid. This financial stability gives Ukraine the only remaining peace it lacked: the certainty that it can continue fighting until it defeats Russia. The war has become one where Ukraine's goal is to outlast Russia, as Russia's resources and economy are expected to eventually wear out faster than Ukraine's.
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2:36
Addressing Financial Weakness
Ukraine previously had a weak spot in its financial situation, but the new loan proves that international partners will backstop them while Russia lacks such support.
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4:58
Changing Decision Making
Long-term consistency allows Ukraine to take a breath and change its decision-making approach from desperate survival to focused long-term victory.
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5:33
Preserving Negotiating Leverage
Keeping Russia's frozen assets on the table leaves money available as a future negotiating point, potentially saving Ukraine more than immediate confiscation. Europe retains options to produce another loan or directly give frozen Russian assets later, ensuring a long-term pipeline of aid for victory.
Key points
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Europe's decision to finally fund a $90 billion loan for Ukraine.
- 0:00
Ukraine can actually likely fight for another five to eight years at a minimum.
- 0:00
It gives Ukraine the only remaining peace that they were lacking.
- 0:00
Russia's resources and Russia's economy are going to eventually wear out.
- 2:36
Ukraine has only had one weak spot, and that is their own financial situation.
- 4:58
It's letting them take a breath.
- 5:33
First and foremost, keeping Russia's frozen assets at play leaves those assets on the table.
- 5:33
There are options. And when you look at the total amount of funding that remains in these frozen Russian assets.
Who and where
People · 1
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Vladimir Putin 3
President of the Russian Federation
Photo 1
1. Photo: Пресс-служба Президента России, CC BY 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons · Wikidata · redrawn in our house style (Vladimir Putin)
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