What everyone is getting wrong about Trump’s Ukraine peace talks
Paul J. Warburg
15 min
Peace in Ukraine is a secondary goal for Donald Trump, who seeks to secure access to Ukraine's rare earth metals. The US will likely favor Ukraine to secure the deal, but a permanent peace requires NATO membership and US troops on the ground.
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Donald Trump
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Volodymyr Zelenskyy
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Vladimir Putin
Chapters
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0:00
The Hidden Objective
Peace in Ukraine is a secondary goal to secure rare earth metals.
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3:42
Trump's Negotiation Strategy
Trump pressures Ukraine by excluding them from talks to force a better deal.
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6:20
Ukraine's Real Strength
Ukraine possesses significant endurance and capabilities that Russia lacks. Trump underestimates Ukraine's ability to sustain the war independently.
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10:04
The Likely Outcome
The US will likely favor Ukraine to secure the rare earth deal.
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12:32
The Limits of Diplomacy
A true diplomatic solution requires NATO membership and US troops.
Key points
- 0:27
The primary objective involves securing access to Ukraine's rare earth metals.
- 1:56
Peace in Ukraine serves as a secondary goal for Donald Trump.
- 3:42
Trump excluded Ukraine from talks with Putin to pressure them.
- 3:42
Trump aims to force Ukraine into a worse deal on rare earth metals.
- 6:20
Ukraine possesses significantly more walk away power than the US assumes.
- 6:20
Russian military capabilities are decreasing while Ukrainian skills increase.
- 10:04
Ukraine can disrupt Russia's economy by targeting oil pumping facilities.
- 10:04
The US has every incentive to work a deal favorable to Ukraine.
- 12:32
A diplomatic solution requires NATO membership and US troops on the ground.
- 12:32
Any peace deal without these terms will be temporary at best.
Who and where
People · 3
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Donald Trump 12
President of the United States (2017–2021; since 2025)
Photo 1
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Volodymyr Zelenskyy 2
President of Ukraine since 2019
Photo 2
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Vladimir Putin 2
President of the Russian Federation
Photo 3
1. Photo: Daniel Torok, Public domain, via Wikimedia Commons · Wikidata · redrawn in our house style (Donald Trump)
2. Photo: Press Service of the President of Ukraine, CC BY 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons · Wikidata · redrawn in our house style (Volodymyr Zelenskyy)
3. Photo: Пресс-служба Президента России, CC BY 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons · Wikidata · redrawn in our house style (Vladimir Putin)
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