China’s Taiwan Problem Just Got Much Worse - with Greg Terry

Paul J. Warburg 37 min

The war in Ukraine has made a Chinese invasion of Taiwan impossible through military means. The West must stop its arrogance and learn from Ukraine's example of winning through unity and action.

  • Volodymyr Zelenskyy
  • Xi Jinping
  • Donald Trump

Chapters

  1. 0:00

    Ukraine Changes Global Military Math

    The war in Ukraine has fundamentally altered military strategy, making a Chinese invasion of Taiwan impossible through force. Modern technology gives defenders a massive advantage, rendering large-scale invasions too costly to execute. Inexpensive drones can destroy multi-billion dollar naval assets, proving traditional naval power obsolete. Nations like India are turning to Ukraine for reliable defense technology rather than traditional superpowers. If boxed in globally, China may redirect its military preparations toward invading northern Russia instead of Taiwan.

  2. 32:19

    The West's Arrogance Blinds It to Change

    Western powers refuse to learn lessons from Ukraine because they prefer the old world order where they were dominant.

  3. 34:03

    Unity and Action Win Battles

    Battles are won through resilience, unity, and action rather than rhetoric or threats alone.

Key points

  • 2:34

    The war in Ukraine has changed military math for the entire Indo-Pacific region.

  • 5:24

    Ukraine proved a navy-less nation can sink major Russian ships using drones.

  • 23:31

    India is increasingly buying weapons from Ukraine instead of Russia or the United States.

  • 26:32

    China may be preparing to invade northern Russia rather than Taiwan if blocked elsewhere.

  • 32:19

    Top powers often refuse to learn lessons because they prefer the previous world order.

  • 34:03

    Battles are won through action, resilience, and unity rather than rhetoric or threats.

Who and where

People · 3

  • Drawing of Volodymyr Zelenskyy

    Volodymyr Zelenskyy 8

    President of Ukraine since 2019

    Photo 1

  • Drawing of Xi Jinping

    Xi Jinping 1

    General Secretary of the Chinese Communist Party since 2012 (born 1953)

    Photo 2

  • Drawing of Donald Trump

    Donald Trump 1

    President of the United States (2017–2021; since 2025)

    Photo 3

1. Photo: Press Service of the President of Ukraine, CC BY 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons · Wikidata · redrawn in our house style (Volodymyr Zelenskyy)

2. Photo: Presidencia de la República del Ecuador, Public domain, via Wikimedia Commons · Wikidata · redrawn in our house style (Xi Jinping)

3. Photo: Daniel Torok, Public domain, via Wikimedia Commons · Wikidata · redrawn in our house style (Donald Trump)

34:09

Ukraine is About to Turn Russia Into Hell on Earth

Paul J. Warburg

Ukraine is humiliating Russia through unprecedented daily innovations in drone production, range, and robotics. The trajectory of Russia's decline has reached a point where it is no longer just a trajectory; we are actually seeing it in real time.

18:01

Putin Has NEVER Looked This Terrified - with Professor Gerdes

Paul J. Warburg

Russia is trapped in a strategic siege and will likely collapse internally due to economic strain and fear of rebellion. The war will likely end not on the battlefield but through an economic collapse in Russia that forces a political change.

31:25

Ukraine Just Sabotaged China's Plot to Attack Taiwan

Paul J. Warburg

Ukraine has now single-handedly made it impossible for China to ever successfully invade or annex Taiwan through military action. The war in Ukraine has caused a lot of good for the world that may, in the net, actually be a net benefit.

28:56

Russia is Completely Folding Right Now

Paul J. Warburg

Russia's air defenses have never been weaker, and they continue to get weaker every single day. Right now, the war is going in a very, very clear direction.

Map of the places in “Why I’m Not Worried About Ukraine Losing U.S. Support” 33:13

Why I’m Not Worried About Ukraine Losing U.S. Support

Paul J. Warburg

There are absolutely zero concerns that withdrawing U.S. support will create a catastrophe for Ukraine because the U.S. is not providing decisive aid. Public opinion creates a ceiling on how bad things can get, limiting U.S. actions against Ukraine.

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