Child Care for All? In New Mexico?

Peter Zeihan 4 min

For the first time in the United States, we actually have somebody at the state level that is thinking about what the future of the demographic profile looks like and what the future of the workforce looks like. I call that good news.

Chapters

  1. 0:44

    New Mexico's Structural Challenges

    New Mexico faces severe demographic and economic hurdles due to its geography, climate, and historical issues.

  2. 1:40

    The Child Care Policy Shift

    New Mexico introduces a new policy providing state-covered child care for everyone to address workforce and demographic decline. Urbanization removes the economic benefit of children, making childcare essential to keep women in the workforce. The program will cost approximately $600 million annually, funded by the state's oil revenue sovereign fund.

  3. 3:31

    A Rare Strategic Investment

    This represents a unique state-level commitment to addressing future demographic and workforce realities with significant funding.

Key points

  • 0:44

    New Mexico ranks near the bottom in crime, labor force participation, income, education, and infrastructure.

  • 0:44

    The state's geography features a difficult Rio Grande Canyon, desert, and semi-arid conditions.

  • 0:44

    New Mexico contains one of the densest concentrations of Native Americans with reservation issues.

  • 1:40

    Raising children in towns provides no economic benefit, creating a financial burden for families.

  • 1:40

    Extended maternity leave policies often make women unemployable in their 20s.

  • 1:40

    Providing childcare allows parents to choose between being a mother or a worker without losing either.

  • 3:31

    The new policy costs approximately $600 million per year to implement statewide.

  • 1:40

    Funding will come from the state's sovereign fund derived from oil income.

  • 3:31

    This is the first time a US state is investing significantly in future demographic and workforce profiles.

  • 3:31

    The speaker considers this approach good news despite uncertainties about feasibility.

3:46

Help Wanted - The US Needs More Workers

Peter Zeihan

Inflation is cooked into the system regardless of whatever else goes right or goes wrong. The only option is to increase productivity by adding new technology because capital is also in short supply.

7:27

Immigration and Tariff Policies Stunt US Economy

Peter Zeihan

The combination of collapsing immigration and high tariffs will generate an economic adjustment soon. Manufacturing is the sector to look at first because it is easiest to relocate supply chains outside of the country.

9:45

Where Would I Put a US Semiconductor Fab?

Peter Zeihan

The Midwest is the only viable location for a full semiconductor sector transplant. The obstacles are many, but the investments will be huge.

15:22

Navigating Reindustrialization in a Deglobalized World

Peter Zeihan

Deglobalization and tariffs will prevent a broad civilian economic boom despite increased defense spending, as the necessary infrastructure for industrialization cannot be built quickly enough. The civilian sector will not benefit from the military buildup, and critical technologies like AI will face decades of delay due to supply chain constraints.

8:08

Inflation Ticks Up Under Trump-2

Peter Zeihan

Tariffs and immigration crackdowns are driving inflation through housing, food, transport, and labor costs. The speaker finds it dubious that a coherent second phase exists due to political gridlock.

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