China's New Ship: Enter the Sichuan

Peter Zeihan 3 min

The new Chinese carrier is designed only for regional intimidation within the first island chain and is useless against major naval powers. The vessel serves no purpose beyond intimidating weaker neighbors in the immediate periphery.

Chapters

  1. 0:00

    The Sichuan's Limited Range

    The new Chinese carrier lacks the speed and endurance for global power projection.

  2. 0:48

    Focus on the First Island Chain

    The vessel is designed specifically for operations within the first island chain. The ship is useless against capable naval powers like the US or Australia.

Key points

  • 0:00

    The vessel's maximum emergency speed is likely closer to 20 knots.

  • 0:00

    Three days of full sprint does not allow the ship to travel far from home.

  • 0:48

    The ship cannot operate effectively in the Central Pacific or Indian Ocean.

  • 0:48

    China aims to contest only the first island chain of archipelagos.

  • 0:48

    Becoming a naval superpower requires a fleet five times as powerful as the US Navy.

  • 0:48

    The vessel is suitable for amphibious assaults against islands like Taiwan and the Philippines.

  • 0:48

    The ship lacks speed and requires a massive logistical train.

  • 0:48

    The vessel is almost useless in a hot war against a country with a meaningful navy.

  • 0:48

    China plans to use the ship to intimidate weaker powers in the periphery.

4:53

Taking Naval Options Away from China

Peter Zeihan

New weapon systems deployed by Japan and the US permanently lock China into the western side of the first island chain. China is screwed because every nation in the region now has the ability to destroy its economy by interrupting sea lanes.

5:51

The Limits of China's Military Reach

Peter Zeihan

China utterly lacked the military means in order to protect that trade even within sight of its own shore. But we now know that if they do go down, they're going to be taking the fuel systems of a half a dozen countries that the United States cares a fair amount about as a side effect.

5:35

Can China Break Through the First Island Chain?

Peter Zeihan

China cannot break through the First Island Chain without the United States because it lacks the resources to conquer the necessary territories. An alliance of the First Island Chain nations is not needed because China is incapable of taking on the whole thing.

2:59

China Tries to Build Sand Bases, Again

Peter Zeihan

The new larger island will sink bigger and crack bigger than previous attempts. The outcome is not worrisome but anticipated as a delightful disaster when military plans based on these flawed islands are tested.

4:26

Venezuela’s End: Was a Deal Struck?

Peter Zeihan

No deal exists because Russia and China lack the ability to offer security guarantees. The US will completely dismantle China's position in the hemisphere with minimal effort this year.

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