Putin is FURIOUS as Elite Russian Soldiers Flee Their Positions
Paul J. Warburg
14 min
It proves how Ukraine can force Russian soldiers out of their positions, which doesn't have to be through direct military action. So no matter how we slice it, this is a very, very encouraging development.
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Volodymyr Zelenskyy
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Vladimir Putin
Chapters
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0:00
The Strategic Value of the Kinburn Spit
An elite group of Russian soldiers has likely abandoned the Kinburn Spit, a territory northwest of Crimea that controls access to the Dnieper River and serves as a potential launching ground for invasions of Odessa or Crimea. This location holds strategic value similar to New Orleans on the Mississippi River, controlling trade and military traffic in and out of the river.
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1:16
The Logistics Victory
Russia lost control of the Kinburn Spit not due to direct Ukrainian strikes or invasion, but because of a lack of logistics. Ukrainian strikes hundreds of kilometers away cut off access to food and ammunition, leaving soldiers stranded and forcing them to flee without Ukraine firing a shot directly against them. This event proves a concept where Ukraine forces Russian soldiers out of positions by making them untenable through supply denial rather than direct combat. The goal is to force soldiers to leave of their own volition because there is no point staying in territory where they cannot get food, fuel, and ammunition.
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5:46
The Source of the Report
The story originates from Atash Partisans, pro-Ukrainian people living in Crimea who are deeply embedded in the Russian military apparatus. Revealing such information is incredibly dangerous for them as it draws attention and potential scrutiny.
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6:41
The Human Element
Sharing this information likely came from someone risking their life to get it into Ukrainian hands, suggesting the story is most likely true. The person may have been trying to encourage Ukrainians to take advantage of a strategic vulnerability that may not last forever. Ukraine could be setting the stage for a big counteroffensive while Russia is weak and before they plan a big mobilization this fall. This timing would allow Ukraine to put itself in the best possible strategic position against fresh Russian reinforcements.
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9:04
The Broader Logistics Campaign
Ukraine has effectively cut Crimea off from all land bridges except the Kerch Strait Bridge, which is so damaged that commercial shipments of heavy trucks cannot cross. Most connections are replaced by pontoon bridges, reducing shipments to Crimea by two-thirds in just one month.
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12:12
The Long-Term Strategic Gain
If Ukraine controls the mouth of the Dnieper River, it leaves the country in a much better place for the long term. This allows shipments to come out of Kherson and other cities further up the river that are currently constrained by the Russian military.
Key points
- 0:00
An elite group of Russian soldiers has probably just been forced to abandon an incredibly important piece of occupied Ukrainian territory.
- 0:00
The Kinburn Spit controls access to the Dnieper River and serves as a potential launching ground for an invasion of Odessa or Crimea.
- 0:00
This territory plays a strategic role very similar to New Orleans on the Mississippi River to the United States.
- 1:16
Russia has potentially just lost the piece of territory that allowed them to exercise most of their pressure on the Dnieper River.
- 1:16
They've lost it due to a lack of logistics. They've lost it due to Ukrainian strikes hundreds of kilometers away, or at least tens of kilometers away, that have cut off access to food and ammunition and everything else.
- 1:16
This proves how Ukraine can force Russian soldiers out of their positions simply because they cannot get food or ammunition there.
- 1:16
Ukraine has just announced that they're actually trying to do exactly that to Crimea within a month.
- 1:16
It is a way that Ukraine can take their territory back from Russia without taking massive human casualties, a legitimate victory path for Ukraine.
- 5:46
The story originates from Atesh partisans, pro-Ukrainian people who live in Crimea and are deeply embedded in the Russian military apparatus.
- 6:41
One of the reasons I'm creating a video on this, because somebody risked their life to get this information in our hands.
- 9:04
Ukraine has effectively cut Crimea off from all of the land bridges going into the territory, except for the Kurt Strait Bridge.
Who and where
People · 2
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Volodymyr Zelenskyy 1
President of Ukraine since 2019
Photo 1
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Vladimir Putin 1
President of the Russian Federation
Photo 2
1. Photo: Press Service of the President of Ukraine, CC BY 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons · Wikidata · redrawn in our house style (Volodymyr Zelenskyy)
2. Photo: Пресс-служба Президента России, CC BY 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons · Wikidata · redrawn in our house style (Vladimir Putin)
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