The Supreme Court Just Ruled Trump's Tariffs Unconstitutional || Free Patreon Preview

Peter Zeihan 4 min

The U.S. Supreme Court just ruled that Donald Trump's tariffs are unconstitutional and that only Congress has the authority to tariff countries over a prolonged period of time. Trump is not going to abandon the tariffs.

  • Donald Trump

Key points

  • 0:00

    The U.S. Supreme Court just ruled that Donald Trump's tariffs are unconstitutional.

  • 0:00

    Only Congress has the authority to tariff countries over a prolonged period of time.

  • 0:00

    The Trump administration will probably find justification in other laws that are actually fuzzier.

  • 0:00

    The Trump administration has gleefully gone after almost every institution in the United States.

  • 0:00

    One possibility is that the Trump administration will start to pack the court.

  • 0:00

    Congress must stand up to the president to prevent him from saying what goes.

  • 0:00

    The timing guarantees that American politics are about to get a lot spicier than they have been this last year.

  • 2:36

    Trump has made it very clear that any Republican who sides against him on any issue is going to face a primary challenge.

  • 2:36

    A civil war within the Republican Party is probably the best case scenario.

  • 2:36

    Trump is not going to abandon the tariffs. He's just going to rename them.

Who and where

People · 1

  • Drawing of Donald Trump

    Donald Trump 6

    President of the United States (2017–2021; since 2025)

    Photo 1

1. Photo: Daniel Torok, Public domain, via Wikimedia Commons · Wikidata · redrawn in our house style (Donald Trump)

6:45

Trump Gets Introduced to Section 301

Peter Zeihan

Trump is forced to use the slow Section 301 process because his arbitrary tariff approach was ruled illegal and he lacks the political power to get broader authority from Congress. The administration is stuck in a stall because the legal path is blocked and the political path is unavailable.

4:46

While I Was Gone, Part 1: Trade Policy Updates

Peter Zeihan

The current trade policy creates a significant breakdown of American manufacturing due to legal uncertainty and lack of government staffing. The situation remains unfavorable for the United States regardless of the Supreme Court's final decision on tariffs.

7:21

A Rare Sign of Life in Congress

Peter Zeihan

The Republican Party has effectively ceased to exist as an institution, but the withdrawal of E.J. Antoni's nomination shows Congress is finally considering acting independently. This event marks a very good day because Congress is finally considering doing its job as an independent branch of government.

8:09

How Was Trump's Trip to Asia?

Peter Zeihan

Trade relationships with aging nations must eventually go to zero regardless of political reasons. The back and forth and the ebb and flow continues without final resolution.

5:18

Bonus Video - Russia: Trump Pulls the Trigger

Peter Zeihan

Trump's current sanctions are insufficient to change Russia's view because they lack the scale and administrative capacity needed for a total embargo. The Trump administration faces significant challenges in building the government structures required to enforce effective secondary sanctions.

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