Attack on Iran Underway
Peter Zeihan
6 min
A collapse of the government in Iran is not particularly likely without a ground force. We will find out real quick whether or not the United States military has the power to do something about that dispersed nuclear program.
Chapters
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0:00
The Attack Begins
The Trump administration launched a broad assault on Iran targeting cities, naval positions, and missile facilities, resulting in thousands of deaths. Over 10,000 mullahs remain in the political class, meaning destroying leadership does not collapse the government. Destroying drone production would end Russia's ability to use Shaheds as a primary method for targeting civilian areas in Ukraine.
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2:27
Energy Sector Spared
The United States and Israel have not yet targeted the energy sector or Karg Island, which handles 90% of oil exports.
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3:01
War Powers Act Violated
This is the first military operation in 40 years carried out without first going to Congress, violating the War Powers Act.
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3:49
Ground Force Absent
A collapse of the government is not likely without a ground force, and there is no provision for one. The nuclear program is dispersed and hardened, making it unclear if the military has the power to stop it. This is the first American military operation using a large number of one-way drones instead of just missiles.
Key points
- 0:00
Right now there are two carriers on station as well as a large amount of supplementary aircraft.
- 0:00
In Iran, keep in mind that there's over 10,000 members of the political class. They're all mullahs.
- 0:00
If those go down, that ends the Russian ability to use these sort of weapons in the Ukraine war.
- 2:27
There's no sign at the present that the United States or Israel is going after the energy sector.
- 3:01
This is the first military operation in the last 40 years that the administration, any administration, has carried out without first going to Congress.
- 3:49
The nuclear program, which is one of the things the Trump administration, any American administration has been concerned about for decades, is dispersed.
- 3:49
This is the first American military operation in which we are using a large number of one-way drones.
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