Auto Tariffs and the Art of Routine Vehicle Maintenance

Peter Zeihan 4 min

The new tariff policy will drive up vehicle costs significantly. The cumulative effect of these tariffs could easily see automobile costs going up by $10,000.

  • Donald Trump

Chapters

  1. 0:00

    New Tariffs on Cars

    Donald Trump initiated a new tariff policy affecting imported cars and parts. Cars made within Canada, Mexico, or the US as NAFTA products get a bypass. The tariff will drive up vehicle costs by about $2,000 or $3,000. Different countries produce different quality parts for vehicles. Japanese cars have high North American content while European cars use imported parts.

  2. 3:07

    Cumulative Tariff Impact

    Multiple tariffs stack up to increase automobile costs significantly.

Key points

  • 0:00

    Donald Trump initiated yet another tariff.

  • 0:00

    A new policy imposes a 25% tariff on all imported cars and car parts.

  • 0:00

    NAFTA products produced within Canada, Mexico, and the United States get a bypass.

  • 0:00

    The tariff will drive up vehicle costs by about $2,000 or $3,000.

  • 0:00

    Automotive is unique because everyone produces some of everything.

  • 0:00

    German manufacturers make good transmissions while Chinese ones make crap transmissions.

  • 0:00

    Japanese automakers like Toyota have a lot of North American content.

  • 0:00

    European manufacturing centers in North America use almost 100% imported content from Europe.

  • 3:07

    Cumulative tariffs could easily see automobile costs going up by $10,000.

  • 2:14

    Additional tariffs on aluminum and steel are already in place.

  • 2:14

    Reciprocal tariffs will be announced on April 2nd.

On the map

Map of the places in “Auto Tariffs and the Art of Routine Vehicle Maintenance”

Who and where

Places · 9

  • United States 7
  • Europe 4
  • Bavaria 1
  • South Korea 1
  • Mexico 1
  • Canada 1
  • Japan 1
  • Germany 1
  • People's Republic of China 1

People · 1

  • Drawing of Donald Trump

    Donald Trump 3

    President of the United States (2017–2021; since 2025)

    Photo 1

1. Photo: Daniel Torok, Public domain, via Wikimedia Commons · Wikidata · redrawn in our house style (Donald Trump)

Organisations · 3

  • Chevrolet 1
  • Ford Motor Company 1
  • Toyota 1
5:49

The Tariffs Stalk at Midnight + LIVE Q&A Starts Soon!

Peter Zeihan

The new tariff policies will cause a significantly worse recession than previously predicted. We are just getting started on this dislocation.

6:40

Trump’s Tariffs: Reciprocal Edition + Live Q&A

Peter Zeihan

The new tariffs will wreck the relationship with Southeast Asia and cause a year-long recession. We are easily looking at a recession that is going to last a year.

8:08

Inflation Ticks Up Under Trump-2

Peter Zeihan

Tariffs and immigration crackdowns are driving inflation through housing, food, transport, and labor costs. The speaker finds it dubious that a coherent second phase exists due to political gridlock.

6:02

The Fire Hose of Chaos: Housing Problems

Peter Zeihan

The housing sector is the American industry most damaged by mid- and long-term trends combining labor shortages, tariffs, financing cuts, and insurance collapse. The housing sector is looking to be the sector that is potentially most damaged by the mid- and long-term trends that are coming together.

6:59

The Fire Hose of Chaos: Wait, The Recession Is Already Here?

Peter Zeihan

The United States is already in a completely unnecessary recession caused by erratic policies and tariffs. The recession will start formally in the second quarter, certainly in the third, and last a lot longer than it would have ever needed to.

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