Chinese Marriage Data Confirms Demographic Crisis
Peter Zeihan
4 min
China faces an irreversible demographic crisis because there are not enough people left to marry and repopulate the nation. The situation is dire and will not last much longer.
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Xi Jinping
Chapters
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0:00
The Reliability of Chinese Data
Chinese statistics are often unreliable due to recent industrialization and political pressure on officials.
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0:24
Marriage Registrations Plummet
Actual marriage registrations have dropped significantly, confirming a severe demographic crisis.
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2:11
No Path to Repopulation
The lack of marriages means there are not enough people left to repopulate the country.
Key points
- 0:24
China only started its industrialization process in 1978.
- 0:24
Local officials face punishment if data displeases the central government.
- 0:24
Data collection stops for metrics that officials fear will be criticized.
- 0:24
Marriage registrations fell by roughly 6% in the last 12 months.
- 0:24
Year-on-year declines in marriage have continued for over 30 years.
- 2:11
Marriage rate drops are two to three times faster than population declines.
- 2:11
There are not enough people under age 50 to repopulate a country of 400 million.
- 2:11
Officials suspect they may have overcounted the population by at least 100 million.
- 2:11
There are now not enough people to even theoretically get married.
Who and where
People · 1
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Xi Jinping 1
General Secretary of the Chinese Communist Party since 2012 (born 1953)
Photo 1
1. Photo: Presidencia de la República del Ecuador, Public domain, via Wikimedia Commons · Wikidata · redrawn in our house style (Xi Jinping)
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