Putin’s Worst Nightmare is Unfolding in Belgorod Right Now
Paul J. Warburg
19 min
Ukraine is proactively softening the Belgorod region and disrupting logistics to counter an expected Russian mobilization of 500,000 men. Ukraine is highly confident in its ability to prepare the ground and maintain the initiative while Russia mobilizes.
Chapters
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0:00
Ukraine's New Campaign in Belgorod
Ukraine has launched a new campaign targeting gas stations in the Belgorod region, taking offline a third of them in just four days.
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1:46
Strategic Comparison to Crimea
The strategy mirrors Ukraine's previous actions in Crimea, aiming to create a fuel desert and force civilian evacuation.
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5:50
Escalating Drone Attacks
Drone attacks in the region have surged from 7,500 in June to over 11,000 in July.
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6:40
Diverse Targeting Beyond Gas Stations
Ukraine has also struck dams, thermal power plants, and fuel depots to disrupt logistics.
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8:02
Response to Russian Mobilization
The campaign aims to counter an expected Russian mobilization of 500,000 men later this year.
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10:28
Softening the Kharkiv Front
Disrupting Belgorod prevents Russia from using it as a staging ground for an offensive against Kharkiv. Ukraine may seize Belgorod temporarily to dictate where the fighting takes place before Russian reinforcements arrive.
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15:26
Impact on Mobilized Soldiers
Simultaneous strikes on Wildberries facilities will leave mobilized soldiers without essential equipment.
Key points
- 0:00
Ukraine has taken offline a third of the gas stations in the entire region of Belgorod.
- 1:46
The strategy mirrors previous actions in Crimea to create a fuel desert and force civilian evacuation.
- 5:50
Drone attacks in the region surged from 7,500 in June to over 11,000 in July.
- 6:40
Ukraine struck a dam causing it to break and damaging an important road to the region.
- 8:02
Russia is expected to add about 500,000 men or more to their military this fall.
- 10:28
Disrupting Belgorod prevents Russia from using it as a staging ground for an offensive against Kharkiv.
- 10:28
Ukraine may seize Belgorod temporarily to dictate where the fighting takes place.
- 15:26
Strikes on Wildberries facilities will leave mobilized soldiers without essential equipment.
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