Russia is Still Losing the War...and it's not even close

Paul J. Warburg 23 min

The cities of Pokrask and Chesovyar are critical for Ukraine to hold as long as possible, but losing them would not rapidly undermine the Ukrainian war effort. Russia's advance is a self-defeating exercise that destroys its own war machine, so viewers should continue to support Ukraine rather than giving in to despair.

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Chapters

  1. 0:00

    The Reality of Recent Headlines

    Recent headlines claiming Russia captured Pokrask and Chesovyar are largely false or exaggerated, though Ukraine faces difficult battles there.

  2. 3:04

    The Strategic Importance of the Cities

    While losing these cities is disappointing for Ukraine, it would not rapidly undermine their overall war effort. Russia's strategy relies on slow advances, but the high cost of taking objectives is unsustainable for them.

  3. 7:51

    The Limited Impact of City Loss

    If these cities fall, Ukraine will move back to fortified positions, resulting in only a slight shift in the front line.

  4. 11:23

    Ukraine's Effective Logistics Strikes

    Ukraine has already achieved similar strategic goals by destroying Russian logistics hubs at a fraction of the cost.

  5. 14:28

    The Economic Impact of Lost Infrastructure

    The loss of the coking plant in Pokrask is already accounted for as it has been shut down for some time.

  6. 16:20

    The Strategy of Attritional Warfare

    Ukraine wins by inflicting more casualties on Russia than it suffers, regardless of which cities they hold.

  7. 19:53

    The Unsustainable Nature of the Russian Advance

    Russia's progress is like a vehicle driving on its rims; it moves forward but destroys itself in the process.

Key points

  • 0:00

    Recent claims that Russia captured Pokrask and Chesovyar have proven wrong over time.

  • 0:00

    Russia needs media victories to justify its war effort despite lacking actual ground reality.

  • 3:04

    Losing these cities would not rapidly undermine the Ukrainian war effort.

  • 3:04

    Russia's slow advances come at a cost too high for them to sustain forever.

  • 7:51

    If these cities fall, Ukraine will move back to fortified positions behind them.

  • 11:23

    Ukraine has destroyed Russian logistics hubs with drones at a very low cost.

  • 14:28

    The loss of the coking plant in Pokrask has already occurred and does not change the current strategic scenario.

  • 16:20

    Ukraine wins by doing more damage to Russia than Russia does to them.

  • 19:53

    Russia's advance is self-defeating as it destroys its own war machine while moving forward.

  • 19:53

    Viewers should continue to support Ukraine rather than giving in to despair.

Who and where

People · 1

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    Donald Trump 1

    President of the United States (2017–2021; since 2025)

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1. Photo: Daniel Torok, Public domain, via Wikimedia Commons · Wikidata · redrawn in our house style (Donald Trump)

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