Sub-Sea Drone Strike on Russian Sub

Peter Zeihan 4 min

Sub-sea drones represent a significant threat to Russian ports but are not a game changer in modern naval warfare due to their limited guidance capabilities. The attack marks the functional end of the Russian Black Sea Fleet within 12 months.

Chapters

  1. 0:00

    The Attack on the Russian Submarine

    Ukraine used a sub-sea drone to attack a Russian submarine at a port, causing significant damage.

  2. 2:05

    The Impact on the Russian Black Sea Fleet

    The loss of Novorossiysk as a naval base effectively ends the operational capability of the Russian Black Sea Fleet. Sub-sea drones are anti-port weapons with limited guidance, making them less useful than modern torpedoes.

Key points

  • 0:00

    The Ukrainian government announced the use of a sub-sea drone to attack a Russian submarine.

  • 0:00

    Damaged submarines cannot be refitted because equipment is located in Crimea under assault.

  • 0:00

    The Russian Black Sea Fleet moved its base to Novorossiysk to avoid air attacks.

  • 2:05

    Novorossiysk is now considered untenable for Russian naval or maritime activity.

  • 2:05

    The functional end of the entire Russian Black Sea Fleet is expected within 12 months.

  • 2:05

    Sub-sea drones lack meaningful guidance or decision trees for naval operations.

  • 3:02

    These drones are anti-port weapons rather than effective at-sea weapons.

  • 3:02

    Sub-sea drones cannot track active signatures and only go to pre-programmed fixed points.

  • 3:02

    In modern naval warfare, sub-sea drones are not considered a game changer in their current form.

Related episodes

5:07

The Future of Drone Tech: Naval Strategies

Peter Zeihan

The entire Black Sea is starting to become a no-go zone. By the end of the year, Russian access to the Black Sea for shipping will be lost.
5:27

Ukraine Targets the CPC in Recent Drone Strikes

Peter Zeihan

Combined attacks on Black Sea and Baltic routes approach the upper limit of removable global oil flow. Calendar year 2026 is predicted to start with a major energy disruption.
5:47

The Future of Drone Tech: Naval Launch Platforms

Peter Zeihan

Naval drones are evolving into drone carriers that launch aerial units via tethers to bypass jamming and expand frontline reach. That is something we're probably going to see within a month or two.
23:13

Russia is Now Fleeing the ENTIRE Sea of Azov (75 Ships Disabled!)

Paul J. Warburg

Ukraine is executing a successful long-term attrition strategy that disables critical Russian capabilities without suffering equivalent strategic losses. The trajectory of the war favors Ukraine, leading to an optimistic outlook for its future despite the prolonged conflict.
Map of the places in “Ukraine Is Shooting Fish in a Barrel” 3:59

Ukraine Is Shooting Fish in a Barrel

Peter Zeihan

Ukraine will stop Russia's significant oil export presence by destroying the non-reporting shadow fleet. The ports will eventually run out of storage facilities, cutting down production inland just as effectively as stopping the shadow fleet.

AI-generated summary · model qwen3.5:9b-12k · prompt version whole-3.window-7.combine-10.s-f4be8e · video id 6YAQRFG5IiU · Watch on YouTube