The U.S. Gets a Taste of Corruption

Peter Zeihan 4 min

The U.S. is adopting a strategy similar to Russia's 1990s approach of conflicting guidance requiring bribes. We should expect significantly more things like this.

  • Donald Trump
  • Barack Obama

Chapters

  1. 0:00

    The $1.8 Billion Slush Fund Settlement

    The Trump administration settled a lawsuit it brought against itself to create a $1.8 billion fund for political allies. The settlement mirrors corrupt practices seen in Venezuela, Nigeria, and Russia rather than standard legal processes.

  2. 1:44

    Erosion of Rule of Law

    The executive branch views the rule of law as an obstacle, leading to unpredictable regulatory environments. Frequent policy changes force businesses to rely on relationships with regulators instead of compliance. Agencies are understaffed, preventing enforcement of existing regulations and creating legal uncertainty. Conflicting guidance is intentionally provided to force companies into legal jeopardy unless they pay bribes. The U.S. is adopting a strategy similar to Russia's 1990s approach of conflicting guidance requiring bribes. More instances of this behavior are expected as the administration continues its current trajectory.

Key points

  • 0:00

    The Trump administration settled a lawsuit it brought against itself to create a $1.8 billion fund for political allies.

  • 0:00

    This operation resembles corrupt practices seen in Venezuela, Nigeria, and Russia rather than standard legal processes.

  • 1:44

    The executive branch views the rule of law as an obstacle, leading to unpredictable regulatory environments.

  • 1:44

    Frequent policy changes force businesses to rely on relationships with regulators instead of compliance.

  • 1:44

    Conflicting guidance is intentionally provided to force companies into legal jeopardy unless they pay bribes.

  • 1:44

    The U.S. is adopting a strategy similar to Russia's 1990s approach of conflicting guidance requiring bribes.

  • 1:44

    More instances of this behavior are expected as the administration continues its current trajectory.

Who and where

People · 2

  • Drawing of Donald Trump

    Donald Trump 4

    President of the United States (2017–2021; since 2025)

    Photo 1

  • Drawing of Barack Obama

    Barack Obama 1

    44th President of the United States (2009–2017)

    Photo 2

1. Photo: Daniel Torok, Public domain, via Wikimedia Commons · Wikidata · redrawn in our house style (Donald Trump)

2. Photo: Official White House Photo by Pete Souza, Public domain, via Wikimedia Commons · Wikidata · redrawn in our house style (Barack Obama)

4:47

Rolling Back Regulations in the U.S.

Peter Zeihan

Donald Trump's second term creates a dangerous situation where outdated regulations remain on the books while the administration refuses to enforce them. The solution is for the government to be the government, but the government can't be the government without people.

6:45

Trump Gets Introduced to Section 301

Peter Zeihan

Trump is forced to use the slow Section 301 process because his arbitrary tariff approach was ruled illegal and he lacks the political power to get broader authority from Congress. The administration is stuck in a stall because the legal path is blocked and the political path is unavailable.

11:37

The U.S. Dollar: Short vs. Long Term

Peter Zeihan

The U.S. dollar will rise over decades due to structural strengths but drop in the short term due to active policy choices. The result is at the moment, in a moment of global crisis, surprisingly small gains for the US dollar.

9:09

Who Needs National Security Guidance Anyways

Peter Zeihan

The new national security document functions as a domestic political campaign tool rather than strategic guidance. The inability to build institutions while tearing them down reduces global influence for decades.

Map of the places in “What Does Life After Donald Trump Look Like?” 11:31

What Does Life After Donald Trump Look Like?

Peter Zeihan

Trump has destroyed the Republican Party's institutional capacity and mirrors the fragile personalist regimes of China and Russia. When these leaders leave, the result will be quick and complete collapse because governance is them.

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