The End of NATO

Peter Zeihan 4 min

The US withdrawal of assets and pre-positioning for China ends NATO's strategic purpose. Europe is forced to make procurement decisions that functionally end the alliance anyway.

Key points

  • 0:00

    The US will not send carriers, aircraft, or precision munitions to NATO.

  • 0:00

    The US must pre-position assets for a war with China and cannot deploy them elsewhere.

  • 0:00

    The US lost the capability to fight more than one war after the Iran conflict.

  • 1:06

    The Trump administration decided that Europe is on its own.

  • 1:06

    NATO might exist on paper but effectively ends if the US sends no assets.

  • 1:06

    The US plan was to make Europeans dependent by developing broad area competencies.

  • 1:06

    Europeans purchased American weapons to maintain interoperability with US command structures.

  • 1:06

    US forces are designed for long-range durability, not the short fights Europe faces.

  • 1:06

    European and American militaries will lose interoperability within a year.

6:51

How to End American Power

Peter Zeihan

Trump's demand for independent military forces guarantees the fastest reduction in American strategic power in our lifetimes. The current administration is actively pushing to create strategic competitors for future generations, a move described as potentially the most stupid thing possible.

4:26

Why Would Europe Trust France with ALL the Nukes?

Peter Zeihan

Europeans have lost confidence in the United States and will develop independent nuclear deterrents because NATO no longer guarantees their security. In the next few years, many European countries will get their own deterrent because they must make decisions that not only the Americans don't like, but other Europeans don't like either.

5:41

Italy Gives Trump the Cold Shoulder

Peter Zeihan

The United States is in the Western Hemisphere, and most of its military operations are in the Eastern Hemisphere. So we now have Italy and Spain and France and the United Kingdom that are giving the United States a cold shoulder in any number of ways.

7:54

The Two-Speed EU of the Future

Peter Zeihan

Europe cannot reform its institutions quickly enough because it lacks the cultural and legal structures for federalism, and no devastating conflict has yet occurred to force change. The EU will likely fracture under pressure rather than negotiate incrementally into a more federal structure.

7:53

Why Nobody Came to Help the U.S in Iran

Peter Zeihan

Allies did not help because they lack independent naval power and were excluded from intelligence sharing. The situation is a trap caused by a leader who refuses to surround himself with anyone but sycophants.

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