The US Navy Just Seized a Russian Tanker

Peter Zeihan 3 min

The US seizure of a Russian tanker destroys the legal cover for the shadow fleet, causing its collapse and disrupting global oil supplies. We are at the beginning of a very dramatic period in human history as the global trade system sees one of its primary methods of keeping running energy starting to break down.

Key points

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    The United States Navy captured a tanker off the coast of Iceland.

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    The ship was part of a shadow fleet servicing Russia, Venezuela, and Iran.

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    The vessel slipped through a US quarantine cordon around Venezuela.

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    The ship changed its loyalty to Russia while sailing and painted a Russian flag.

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    Russia claimed ownership of the vessel and asked the White House not to take it.

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    The US took the ship despite Russia's direct request to leave it alone.

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    The seizure gives other nations full legal cover to seize shadow fleet ships.

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    This action will lead to the collapse of the shadow fleet within weeks or months.

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    The disruption will affect more than 45 million barrels of daily crude oil supply.

5:37

The Beginning of the End of the Shadow Fleet

Peter Zeihan

The collapse of the Shadow Fleet will cause a multi-phase shock hitting transport and production in at least two countries. Europeans will come up with something much more appropriate to their tool set for interdiction.

3:35

The End of the Shadow Fleet? – French Edition

Peter Zeihan

The French seizure marks the start of dismantling the shadow fleet, causing severe economic pain for Russia and Iran. The next six months will be wild in energy markets as the fleet is dismantled.

3:28

Belgium Seizes Shadow Fleet Vessel

Peter Zeihan

The shadow fleet will be destroyed by US and European actions combined with the war in Iran. The entire Shadow Fleet will be wrapped up here in a matter of weeks to a few months.

8:48

India Takes on the Shadow Fleet (Bonus Video)

Peter Zeihan

India's raid on shadow fleet vessels signals a major geopolitical shift that could cripple Russia's war economy and force a broad structured rearrangement of international politics. If the United States and India align on these economic and strategic matters, we are looking at the single biggest shift in international politics of at least the last four years.

3:00

Sweden Grabs Its First Shadow Fleet Vessel

Peter Zeihan

The simultaneous exit of multiple crude sources and the capture of the shadow fleet will cause a global vessel shortage. The collapse of Russian, Iranian, and Venezuelan crude combined with port shortages creates a major logistical crisis.

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