Why U.S. Deployments in Germany Matter

Peter Zeihan 5 min

This is arguably the most important footprint the United States has anywhere in the world for power projection. That is by far the most expensive way to do it.

  • Donald Trump

Chapters

  1. 0:00

    Trump's Withdrawal Announcement

    Donald Trump announced the imminent withdrawal of 5,000 U.S. troops from Germany. This withdrawal marks the beginning of the end of the alliance with Germany specifically. Germany's Chancellor Mertz stated the U.S. lacks a negotiating strategy and competent negotiators. The State Department is gutted, with Jared Kushner and Steve Witkoff leading negotiations. J.D. Vance has never negotiated anything before being involved in these talks.

  2. 1:26

    Ramstein Airbase Function

    Ramstein allows the United States to project power throughout Europe and into the Middle East. Landstuhl served as the primary evacuation destination for injured forces, saving 100,000 lives. Without these German facilities, the U.S. would have no logistics support or backup. Direct evacuation to the mainland results in significantly higher death rates than stopping in Germany.

  3. 3:49

    Critical Footprint Importance

    This is arguably the most important footprint the United States has anywhere in the world for power projection. It takes 30,000 American forces to keep these facilities open to facilitate power. Abandoning the Eastern Hemisphere requires spending more than $2 trillion annually on defense.

  4. 4:45

    Most Expensive Option

    Doing everything alone is by far the most expensive way to do it.

Key points

  • 0:00

    Donald Trump announced the imminent withdrawal of 5,000 U.S. troops from Germany.

  • 0:00

    This is the beginning of the end of the alliance with Germany specifically.

  • 0:00

    Mertz said the United States doesn't have a negotiating strategy and doesn't even really have negotiators.

  • 0:00

    The prime point person for American negotiations is Jared Kushner. Not that he's incompetent, but his assistant is Steve Witkoff, who is incompetent.

  • 0:00

    The only other person who's been involved to this point is J.D. Vance, who has never negotiated anything.

  • 1:26

    Ramstein is one of the largest air bases in the world and allows the United States to project power throughout the European, the former Soviet spheres directly and then indirectly into the Middle East.

  • 1:26

    Landstall, which is the military hospital that over the course of the war on terror served as the primary evacuation destination for any forces operating throughout the broader Middle East who were injured and in the end probably saved 100,000 lives.

  • 1:26

    If we were to try to project power to any of those three regions without those German facilities, we would have no logistics support and no backup should something go wrong.

  • 1:26

    But if you only have to make it to Germany, that's a different question.

  • 3:49

    Anyway, bottom line is with the possible exception of American military forces in Okinawa in Japan, this is arguably the most important footprint the United States has anywhere in the world for power projection.

  • 3:49

    It takes 30,000 American forces to keep these things open to the degree that's necessary to facilitate American military power.

  • 3:49

    Just be prepared for spending a lot more than $2 trillion a year on the defense budget.

Who and where

People · 1

  • Drawing of Donald Trump

    Donald Trump 2

    President of the United States (2017–2021; since 2025)

    Photo 1

1. Photo: Daniel Torok, Public domain, via Wikimedia Commons · Wikidata · redrawn in our house style (Donald Trump)

7:53

Why Nobody Came to Help the U.S in Iran

Peter Zeihan

Allies did not help because they lack independent naval power and were excluded from intelligence sharing. The situation is a trap caused by a leader who refuses to surround himself with anyone but sycophants.

5:55

Iran Diplomacy Has Yet to Begin

Peter Zeihan

Meaningful diplomacy has not begun because Trump refuses to allow lower-level officials to do their jobs. The entire region remains in a holding pattern until Trump realizes only a political deal can end the situation.

6:51

How to End American Power

Peter Zeihan

Trump's demand for independent military forces guarantees the fastest reduction in American strategic power in our lifetimes. The current administration is actively pushing to create strategic competitors for future generations, a move described as potentially the most stupid thing possible.

9:25

Will the U.S. and Iran Reach a Deal?

Peter Zeihan

Real negotiations aren't happening because the State Department is listless and without leadership, while Ansum Manir represents American interests in talks with Iran. We will see whether real negotiations that actually involve an American citizen begin once we hit a record low for global inventories.

11:23

The End of U.S. Military Deployments?

Peter Zeihan

Withdrawing from key global bases would force rivals to build independent power, guarantee higher defense costs and long-term security challenges. The current footprint is optimized to avoid spending money or lives while controlling global security.

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