Bring On the Jet Fuel Shortages

Peter Zeihan 2 min

A global jet fuel shortage will last at least a year due to production bottlenecks and lack of substitutes. There will probably be more shooting.

Key points

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    Jet fuel production is very exacting in terms of its production.

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    Diesel or gasoline have a broader band that you can produce them with in the distillation columns in a refinery.

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    The preferred feedstock for most refineries that make jet fuel is heavily concentrated in places like Kuwait and Iraq and Saudi Arabia.

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    Half a billion barrels of oil have not been produced or delivered.

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    Refineries will not see new shipments for the next two to three months minimum, probably considering that a lot of this stuff is Kuwaiti and Iraqi for over a year.

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    Airlines in China, Japan, Australia, New Zealand, the Philippines, Vietnam, and India are canceling flights for the next few months.

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    There is no good substitute because cargo can switch to diesel or trains if gasoline or jet fuel runs low.

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    The shortage will cling to the system for at least a year, assuming no new shooting.

Map of the places in “The Diesel Shortage Hits America” 6:07

The Diesel Shortage Hits America

Peter Zeihan

Diesel shortages will reverberate through the entire American economy for months. The US faces guaranteed transport problems affecting everything moved throughout the country for at least the next 18 months.

5:47

A Massive Energy Break Coming Soon

Peter Zeihan

A massive energy break is coming soon as relief measures evaporate by June or early July. Get ready for a fun summer because the deadline is probably going to happen regardless of negotiations.

7:41

Markets Flash Back to the Past

Peter Zeihan

Markets are ignoring permanent structural breaks because they rely on American security guarantees that no longer exist. Get ready to return to the past later this year.

4:45

Iran War Escalates: 20 Million Barrels a Day of Crude Oil Disrupted

Peter Zeihan

Sustained disruptions to global oil supply generate awful outcomes due to inelastic demand. The world is heading toward a real crisis because oil markets are stuck in an unstable holding pattern.

3:58

The Reality of the Global Energy Situation

Peter Zeihan

The global energy shortage represents the biggest shock the human race has ever experienced. Even in the best case scenario, the situation remains terrible for everyone this summer.

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