The Shield of the Americas

Peter Zeihan 10 min

Aggressive US military intervention in Latin America to combat drug cartels risks damaging vital trade relationships with Mexico. While the US can interfere deeply in the region, it cannot solve drug problems without risking the trade network.

  • Donald Trump

Chapters

  1. 0:00

    The Shield of the Americas

    Introduction to the new US-Latin America security alliance.

  2. 1:05

    Security Cooperation over Trade

    The alliance focuses on military action against drug cartels rather than trade deals. Reduced Eastern Hemisphere involvement leads to increased Western Hemisphere military presence.

  3. 3:45

    Special Forces Deployment

    Small, agile special forces teams replace large permanent bases for counter-drug operations.

  4. 5:31

    Terrain Mismatch

    Special forces trained for deserts struggle in Latin America's mountains and jungles. Special forces cannot dismantle the massive drug industry while US demand remains high.

  5. 8:16

    The Mexico Problem

    Mexico's size and population make it impossible to secure with small forces. Aggressive tactics risk damaging vital trade relationships with Mexico.

Key points

  • 0:00

    The Shield of the Americas is a new grouping initiated by Donald Trump between the United States and Latin American countries.

  • 1:05

    The alliance focuses on security cooperation rather than trade deals or policy secretariats.

  • 1:05

    The United States is contracting its footprint and interests in the Eastern Hemisphere independent of Trump.

  • 2:40

    Reduced Eastern involvement means US military forces will be used more aggressively in the Western Hemisphere.

  • 2:40

    The alliance involves at least 14 governments agreeing to deploy American forces throughout the hemisphere.

  • 3:45

    The roster of participating countries will change frequently due to ongoing elections in the region.

  • 3:45

    Permanent Army or Marine bases are too expensive; only special forces can deploy quickly.

  • 5:31

    Special forces teams have doubled in number but are trained for desert warfare, not Latin American terrain.

  • 8:16

    Mexico is over twice the size and population of Afghanistan, making troop deployment insufficient.

  • 5:31

    Special forces cannot change the math of drug production as long as there is insatiable US demand.

  • 8:16

    Aggressive tactics risk breaking political relationships with Mexico, the largest trading partner.

Who and where

People · 1

  • Drawing of Donald Trump

    Donald Trump 3

    President of the United States (2017–2021; since 2025)

    Photo 1

1. Photo: Daniel Torok, Public domain, via Wikimedia Commons · Wikidata · redrawn in our house style (Donald Trump)

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