The U.S. Helps India and Russia Helps Iran

Peter Zeihan 8 min

The Trump administration granted India temporary waivers to import Russian crude after Persian Gulf supplies were cut off. Meaningful policy change will not occur until pro-Russian advisors like Witkoff and Gabbard are removed.

  • Donald Trump
  • Tulsi Gabbard
  • Vladimir Putin

Chapters

  1. 0:00

    India-Russia Oil Waivers

    The Trump administration granted India temporary waivers to import Russian crude after Persian Gulf supplies were cut off, preventing an energy-induced depression that would have damaged US-India relations.

  2. 0:17

    Russian Assistance to Iran

    Russia continues to actively assist the Iranian government and the IRGC in targeting American troops, a tradition dating back to the Tsars that undermines US interests.

  3. 6:45

    Internal Obstacles to Policy Change

    Meaningful foreign policy change is blocked by key advisors like Steve Witkoff, J.D. Vance, and Tulsi Gabbard who are pro-Russian or mismanage critical agencies.

Key points

  • 0:17

    The Trump administration granted India temporary waivers to import Russian crude after Persian Gulf supplies were cut off.

  • 0:17

    India slowed Russian imports initially but resumed them once Gulf supplies vanished.

  • 0:17

    Russia actively assists the Iranian government and IRGC in targeting American troops.

  • 2:58

    Russian assistance to Iran is a time-honored tradition dating back to the Tsars.

  • 2:58

    Keeping Americans bottled down elsewhere gives Russia free rein in its neighborhood.

  • 2:58

    Steve Witkoff functions as a prime interface between Putin and Trump.

  • 2:58

    J.D. Vance views Russians as a great hope for the white race.

  • 2:58

    Tulsi Gabbard controls the daily presidential brief and has been pro-Russian for 15 years.

  • 5:15

    Details about Russian actions likely do not reach the president due to Gabbard's control.

  • 5:15

    Republican lawmakers are demanding Trump remove pro-Russian advisors like Witkoff and Gabbard.

  • 6:45

    Meaningful policy change will not occur until Witkoff and Gabbard are removed.

Who and where

People · 3

  • Drawing of Donald Trump

    Donald Trump 10

    President of the United States (2017–2021; since 2025)

    Photo 1

  • Drawing of Vladimir Putin

    Vladimir Putin 5

    President of the Russian Federation

    Photo 2

  • Drawing of Tulsi Gabbard

    Tulsi Gabbard 3

    American politician (born 1981)

    Photo 3

1. Photo: Daniel Torok, Public domain, via Wikimedia Commons · Wikidata · redrawn in our house style (Donald Trump)

2. Photo: Пресс-служба Президента России, CC BY 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons · Wikidata · redrawn in our house style (Vladimir Putin)

3. Photo: Office of the Director of National Intelligence, Public domain, via Wikimedia Commons · Wikidata · redrawn in our house style (Tulsi Gabbard)

22:13

Why Russians are Panicking About the War in Iran - with Professor Gerdes

Paul J. Warburg

America First policies weaken the U.S. reserve currency status and create power vacuums for rivals like China. The world is heading toward a more chaotic place where conflicts continue in different formats due to unchanging human nature.

8:48

India Takes on the Shadow Fleet (Bonus Video)

Peter Zeihan

India's raid on shadow fleet vessels signals a major geopolitical shift that could cripple Russia's war economy and force a broad structured rearrangement of international politics. If the United States and India align on these economic and strategic matters, we are looking at the single biggest shift in international politics of at least the last four years.

9:07

A Break for Ukraine

Peter Zeihan

The potential provision of precision targeting information could destroy Russia's primary income source and force allies to stop subsidizing the war. Once the intel is provided, for every day that it is there, the Ukrainians will definitely be striking, leading to a dramatic change in the course of the war.

8:24

What Happens After Trump and Putin Split?

Peter Zeihan

Donald Trump must either dedicate his entire presidency to the Ukraine issue or rebuild a competent government staff to avoid disastrous national security decisions. The current administration's lack of competent staff and reliance on uninformed advisors prevents effective policy implementation.

+1
7:17

Winners and Losers of the Iran War: Ukraine and Russia

Peter Zeihan

The region used to export 22 million barrels of crude a day. It is now down to probably something between 10 and 12.

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