Volodymyr Zelenskyy
President of Ukraine since 2019
Named in 68 episodes, from 19 October 2024 to 7 November 2026: Peter Zeihan 14 · Paul J. Warburg 54. Wikidata
2026 · 46 episodes
2025 · 19 episodes
2024 · 3 episodes
November 2026 · 1
25:25
Russian Soldiers are Suddenly Being Wiped Out Like Never Before
Paul J. Warburg
Russia is experiencing a catastrophic decline where casualty rates exceed recruitment and birth rates, leading to societal collapse. The war has eliminated any hope for Russia's demographic recovery and is running its society into the ground.
October 2026 · 6
26:41
Ukraine’s D-Day May Be Coming Soon
Paul J. Warburg
Sometimes, when things seem hopeless, all you have to do is hold on and actually have courage long enough for the enemy to break themselves against their own impatience. Personally, I see that as the most likely way this war ends through political change within Russia.
20:15
Russia Just Had Its Worst Day of the Entire War
Paul J. Warburg
Pro-Russian pressure from the United States actually hurts the Russians far more than the Ukrainians, and it really does seem that Russia can't possibly do anything to win the war. It is encouraging to know that Ukraine's strategy is definitely, definitely working.
33:13
Why I’m Not Worried About Ukraine Losing U.S. Support
Paul J. Warburg
There are absolutely zero concerns that withdrawing U.S. support will create a catastrophe for Ukraine because the U.S. is not providing decisive aid. Public opinion creates a ceiling on how bad things can get, limiting U.S. actions against Ukraine.
18:56
Ukraine Just Sent Russia Back to the Stone Age
Paul J. Warburg
Russia is definitely now going to get left behind even further than they already were. In either case, Russia's data center problem is massive, and it's quickly growing tendrils into other areas that Russia likely never anticipated.
5:50
Will Putin Join the Miami G20 Summit?
Peter Zeihan
Putin may use the G20 summit to announce an invasion of a NATO country, forcing Trump to choose between Russia and the alliance. The outcome will determine if the US alliance completely shatters or remains intact.
+1
23:33
Ukraine’s New FP-7 Ballistic Missile is Quickly Becoming Russia’s Worst Nightmare
Paul J. Warburg
The introduction of FP-7 and future FP-9 ballistic missiles forces Russia to reallocate air defenses and burn through interceptors on cheap drones, creating a strategic advantage for Ukraine over the next one to two years. The combination of new missile capabilities and depleted Russian defenses will fundamentally alter the battlefield dynamics over the next one to two years.
September 2026 · 4
33:31
Is Russia Really Preparing to Attack NATO?
Paul J. Warburg
Russia is unlikely to attack NATO because doing so would open a massive new front while they are already failing in Ukraine. While we should prepare in case we're wrong, we should not fear a Russian attack because it's unlikely to happen.
18:11
Ukraine Just Sparked a Panic in the Russian Arctic
Paul J. Warburg
Russia's strategy of using its massive size as a defensive advantage is now obsolete. Ukraine is unlocking the entire country, and that hunting season won't end until Russia ends its war.
32:42
Something Very Strange is Happening to China’s Military
Paul J. Warburg
China is a paper tiger using propaganda to appear stronger than it actually is. Investing in cheap drones can overwhelm China's expensive, unproven military image.
7:30
Russia Is Struggling to Defend Its Own Capital
Peter Zeihan
The combination of fuel shortages and the risks of peripheral mobilization makes the current situation looking pretty bad for the Kremlin. The convergence of battlefield losses and social pressure from forced mobilization creates a dangerous situation for the Kremlin.
August 2026 · 2
Ukraine Will Soon Strike Russia’s Most Important Chokepoint (WORSE than the Crimean Bridge)
Paul J. Warburg
Ukraine could soon conduct a massive military campaign against Siberia that cripples Russia's war effort. Russia is going to be in a world of hurt because Ukraine will be able to do damage to Russia like they've never done it before.
What Everyone Is Getting Wrong About Russia’s Ballistic Missile Surge
Paul J. Warburg
Headlines exaggerate Ukraine's vulnerability by ignoring the scale of the crisis and failing to put it in context, leading viewers to incorrect conclusions about an existential threat. Russia is playing a desperate short-term game that creates long-term vulnerabilities, whereas Ukraine holds the superior strategic position for the long haul.
July 2026 · 9
Ukraine's Military Reshuffling Highlights Resource Problems
Peter Zeihan
Ukraine cannot fight effectively because it lacks the resources to maintain both essential drone and artillery systems simultaneously. Zelensky must personally balance two hostile factions that cannot function without him, leaving the situation unchanged.
Ukraine is About to Turn Russia Into Hell on Earth
Paul J. Warburg
Ukraine is humiliating Russia through unprecedented daily innovations in drone production, range, and robotics. The trajectory of Russia's decline has reached a point where it is no longer just a trajectory; we are actually seeing it in real time.
Russia's New Recruitment Crisis is Next Level Incompetence
Paul J. Warburg
Russia cannot fix its core problems because it lacks willing technical experts and relies on desperate tactics that fail against an innovative Ukrainian society. Ukraine will be victorious because its innovative capabilities and defensive preparations overwhelm Russia's desperate mobilization efforts.
France Just Dealt Russia a DEVASTATING Blow
Paul J. Warburg
Countries are positioning themselves within Ukraine's future sphere of influence rather than trying to control Ukraine. Ukraine will hold power over other countries dependent on its weapons supplies.
Russia Just Got Some TERRIBLE News
Paul J. Warburg
There is a mathematical upper limit to the damage Russia can cause, which is insufficient to force Ukraine to capitulate. Ukraine is nowhere close to losing this war, and every country that has fought for its independence has found the cost worth it.
What’s the REAL Reason Zelensky Just Dismissed Ukraine’s Defense Minister?
Paul J. Warburg
The dismissal likely results from a strategic leadership conflict rather than corruption. Viewers should exercise critical thinking and give leaders the benefit of the doubt until the war ends.
Russia is Now Fleeing the ENTIRE Sea of Azov (75 Ships Disabled!)
Paul J. Warburg
Ukraine is executing a successful long-term attrition strategy that disables critical Russian capabilities without suffering equivalent strategic losses. The trajectory of the war favors Ukraine, leading to an optimistic outlook for its future despite the prolonged conflict.
The U.S. and Ukraine Make a Drone Deal
Peter Zeihan
This direct contract allows the United States to take advantage of the war zone in Ukraine to help test an entirely new set of weapon systems. This represents a step in the right direction along a long path of tighter partnership.
Russia is Completely Folding Right Now
Paul J. Warburg
Russia's air defenses have never been weaker, and they continue to get weaker every single day. Right now, the war is going in a very, very clear direction.
June 2026 · 6
Russia’s Military Has Begun Abandoning the Front Lines
Paul J. Warburg
Russia is being forced into a trap where protecting cities leaves the front lines vulnerable, leading to inevitable abandonment. The situation is not good for Russia because even moving air defense systems to Moscow might not make a difference there.
Putin's Closest Ally Just Betrayed Him
Paul J. Warburg
Lukashenko's military buildup is intended to protect his regime and internal power rather than to attack Ukraine. It is more likely that Lukashenko is preparing for a potential attack by Ukraine to maintain his power.
Putin's Response to Armenia's Election Was Absolutely INSANE
Paul J. Warburg
Vladimir Putin's invasion of Ukraine completely backfired, accomplishing exactly the opposite of increasing Russia's influence in the world. Russia has already lost its international influence and failed their major objective, now just holding on for the sake of their pride.
Putin is FURIOUS as Elite Russian Soldiers Flee Their Positions
Paul J. Warburg
It proves how Ukraine can force Russian soldiers out of their positions, which doesn't have to be through direct military action. So no matter how we slice it, this is a very, very encouraging development.
The Ukraine War is About to Get MUCH Worse for Russia
Paul J. Warburg
The war is becoming more of a disaster for Russia every single day. There's a reason that President Zelensky, just a couple days before I recorded this video, sent a letter to Vladimir Putin taunting him, essentially saying exactly that, saying that Ukraine is ready for peace talks whenever Russia is.
Russia’s Front Line Nightmare Just Got So Much Worse
Paul J. Warburg
The war in Ukraine has fundamentally changed as a stalemate ends in Ukraine's favor due to AI-driven logistics strikes. Russia is unable to supply its front lines, forcing a situation similar to Germany in World War I.
May 2026 · 6
Russia’s New War Strategy is Already a MASSIVE Failure
Paul J. Warburg
Russia is pivoting to a historically unsuccessful strategy of targeting civilians to break morale, but this approach is doomed to fail because it invigorates resistance rather than causing capitulation. Ukraine should continue to fight with resolve, denying Russia the victory it seeks through killing Ukrainian children.
Russia's Worst Nightmare Just Happened to Crimea
Paul J. Warburg
Sieging Crimea forces civilians to flee across the bridge, exposing the war's failure to Russian society. This strategy could lead to a movement in Russian society to get rid of Putin.
Russia’s Oil Tycoons are Now Preparing for Sudden Collapse
Paul J. Warburg
Russia faces sudden economic collapse due to halted oil production and frozen infrastructure. The end of the war in Ukraine is getting closer as Russia runs out of money to fund its military.
Russia’s Front Lines Have Never Looked Worse
Paul J. Warburg
The situation on the front lines of the war in Ukraine has never looked worse for Russia. This is a trend that is going in a very clear direction.
The Situation in Moscow is CRAZY Right Now
Paul J. Warburg
Putin is terrified of internal dissent and the optics of defeat, forcing him to weaken Russia's overall strength to protect Moscow. This situation creates a massive opportunity for Ukraine to exploit Russia's vulnerabilities.
China’s Taiwan Problem Just Got Much Worse - with Greg Terry
Paul J. Warburg
The war in Ukraine has made a Chinese invasion of Taiwan impossible through military means. The West must stop its arrogance and learn from Ukraine's example of winning through unity and action.
April 2026 · 3
Russia is pursuing an INSANE new plan…it involves Belarus
Paul J. Warburg
Russia is likely building infrastructure in Belarus as a feint to distract Ukraine and control narratives rather than planning an immediate invasion. Ukraine remains not out of the woods and needs sustained support through purchasing goods from Ukrainian businesses.
Ukraine Just Launched an INCREDIBLE New Strategy Against Russia
Paul J. Warburg
Russia has to trade men to get territory while Ukraine trades machines to get territory. This is the best things have ever looked for Ukraine, at least since this war started.
Winners and Losers of the Iran War: Ukraine and Russia
Peter Zeihan
The region used to export 22 million barrels of crude a day. It is now down to probably something between 10 and 12.
March 2026 · 4
Ukraine FINALLY Hit Russia in the BEST Possible Place
Paul J. Warburg
Ukraine has reached a unique moment where it can strike Russian energy exports without losing critical political support. Ukraine has the least to lose politically while Russia has the most to gain, making major attacks on energy infrastructure inevitable.
Putin Has NEVER Looked This Terrified - with Professor Gerdes
Paul J. Warburg
Russia is trapped in a strategic siege and will likely collapse internally due to economic strain and fear of rebellion. The war will likely end not on the battlefield but through an economic collapse in Russia that forces a political change.
The Iran War: Enter Sting Interceptors
Peter Zeihan
Preserving global infrastructure now runs through Kiev, as Gulf states realize the need for Ukrainian tech. The best chance for preserving infrastructure runs through Kiev, and Gulf states will likely invest immense cash there.
The Iran War - Day 6: Energy Disruption, Regime Fragmentation, and Ukraine
Peter Zeihan
The conflict has caused immediate, long-term energy disruptions while shifting Iran's warfare to a fragmented, non-political state. The deployment of cheap Ukrainian counter-drone technology offers hope despite the ongoing strategic difficulties.
February 2026 · 3
Russia is Absolutely PANICKING About Europe’s €90 Billion Loan to Ukraine
Paul J. Warburg
Europe's €90 billion loan structure is strategically brilliant because it guarantees Ukraine long-term funding while creating future leverage over Russian leaders through frozen assets. This strategic approach is good news for ending the war.
Ukraine’s Flamingo Missile is Making a MASSIVE Comeback
Paul J. Warburg
Ukraine has overcome major hurdles to deploy Flamingo missiles, forcing Russia into a strategic dilemma that favors Ukraine's long-term victory. Consistent progress over years indicates long-term success, and the Flamingo missiles will eventually fly.
Russia Just Declared War On My Channel
Paul J. Warburg
Russia uses disinformation to keep Western societies disengaged and apathetic rather than unified against them. Russia fears truth and unity, proving that light overcomes darkness.
January 2026 · 2
Russia is FREAKING OUT About France’s Latest Announcement
Paul J. Warburg
The United States has misunderstood its actual level of power. There's no reason to assume that history could not repeat itself for today's most overconfident empire who doesn't understand the repercussions of the choices they are currently making.
The U.S. Plan for Greenland is Worse Than You Think
Paul J. Warburg
The real justification for the United States controlling Greenland is access to the rare earth metals, not merely Greenland's position. Instead of focusing on the actions that these countries might or might not take in the future, you can focus on the actions that they are actually taking today.
December 2025 · 2
Ukraine War Peace Talks
Peter Zeihan
The current peace plan guarantees a multi-theater war if implemented because it ignores Russian strategic goals. The best outcome is a failed deal leading to ongoing weapons transfers and assistance.
Ukraine Never Ceases to Amaze Me
Paul J. Warburg
Ukraine is not losing the war; historical trends show defenders win if they wait long enough for aggressors to exhaust their resources. Ukraine must wait to outlast the enemy, as Russia is progressively weaker and Ukraine is progressively stronger.
November 2025 · 1
Ukraine's Energy Scandal
Peter Zeihan
Ukraine's energy corruption stems from a Soviet-era focus on volume over efficiency, which war has now exposed. The collapse of the old statist model will force a significant overhaul of Ukraine's remaining energy infrastructure.
October 2025 · 2
Ukraine’s Military is Becoming INSANELY Powerful
Paul J. Warburg
The war in Ukraine has completely changed the future for all of humanity. We have a chance to use them to our benefit.
A Break for Ukraine
Peter Zeihan
The potential provision of precision targeting information could destroy Russia's primary income source and force allies to stop subsidizing the war. Once the intel is provided, for every day that it is there, the Ukrainians will definitely be striking, leading to a dramatic change in the course of the war.
August 2025 · 3
Why Russia’s Manpower Situation is FAR Worse Than Ukraine’s
Paul J. Warburg
Ukraine does not have a manpower shortage because its lower recruitment numbers are offset by Russia's much higher casualty rates. Ukraine will not run out of soldiers as long as it maintains its current defensive tactics and Russia continues its high-casualty offensive strategy.
Why Trump's Stance on Ukraine Has Changed - Part 1
Peter Zeihan
The war happened because of how the Russians view their world. This is just the next phase of Putin's plan, of the Russian plan, that, if anything, was written 500 years ago.
The Siege of Crimea Has Already Begun…but nobody’s talking about it
Paul J. Warburg
The siege of Crimea has already begun and Russia is willing to abandon the peninsula under sufficient pressure. Ukraine can and will take Crimea when the time is right, destroying whatever remains of Vladimir Putin's legacy.
July 2025 · 2
A Ukraine-US Deal?
Peter Zeihan
Ukraine retains all Soviet-era scientists while Russia acquired most weapons. Half of Ukraine's industrial plant sits empty due to lack of resources.
Is the United States FINALLY Changing Course on Ukraine?
Paul J. Warburg
The United States is using Ukraine's vulnerability to negotiate better terms and profit from arms sales rather than acting out of moral obligation. This transactional approach is dangerous because it means alliances will only exist as long as the US benefits financially.
June 2025 · 2
Ukraine Strikes Russian Strategic Bombers
Peter Zeihan
Ukraine proved that allies can deliver a blow to an enemy targeting the American homeland. The future depends on whether the administration realizes this achievement and makes policy around it.
What's Up In the Middle East: Israel's Future
Peter Zeihan
The Israelis are going to have to figure out how to function in a world where the United States just really doesn't care about the Middle East now. They're too small they're too dependent on energy imports they're too independent on food imports they're too dependent on technology imports but there are partners out there that might work.
March 2025 · 4
Why is Trump STILL Trying to Scam Ukraine?
Paul J. Warburg
The current peace negotiations are a charade where the U.S. inserts self-serving demands like energy ownership before offering any real help. Ukraine should not trust verbal guarantees but might receive significant support if the U.S. sees a direct profit in helping it.
Why Elon Musk CAN’T Shut Down Ukraine’s Starlink
Paul J. Warburg
Elon Musk will not cut off Starlink access because doing so would damage his business interests more than any potential gain from aligning with Russia. Even if Starlink were removed, Ukraine has multiple alternative communication methods available, including other satellite providers, high-altitude balloons, government networks, and fiber optic cables.
What everyone is missing about Ukraine’s ceasefire proposal
Paul J. Warburg
A proposed ceasefire is a lose-lose dilemma for Russia designed to expose their desperation or weakness. The proposal is not genuine peace but a political maneuver that benefits Ukraine's reputation regardless of Russia's choice.
What everyone missed about Trump & Zelenskyy’s fight
Paul J. Warburg
The interaction is described as one of the biggest failures in diplomacy in history. The conversation began cordially but disintegrated halfway through when Zelensky was interrupted.
+1
February 2025 · 3
Trump’s Ukraine 'Minerals' Deal Could Be the Most Corrupt Thing I've Ever Seen
Paul J. Warburg
The US-Ukraine deal is primarily a reconstruction agreement focused on controlling funds for rebuilding rather than securing rare earth metals. Despite significant corruption risks and hypocrisy, the deal remains optimistic because it ensures immediate support for Ukrainian people.
Did Trump Just Betray Ukraine?
Paul J. Warburg
Trump is using a bulldozing negotiation tactic to extract rare earth metals from Ukraine, creating conditions to blame them if the deal fails. Ultimately, we have to come down on the side of Ukraine because these rare earth metals are going to help in our fight against China when it comes to AI and building chips and things like that.
What everyone is getting wrong about Trump’s Ukraine peace talks
Paul J. Warburg
Peace in Ukraine is a secondary goal for Donald Trump, who seeks to secure access to Ukraine's rare earth metals. The US will likely favor Ukraine to secure the deal, but a permanent peace requires NATO membership and US troops on the ground.
November 2024 · 1
What you’re not being told about Trump and Ukraine
Paul J. Warburg
The prevailing theory that Trump can end the war by leveraging US aid is flawed because Ukraine has already proven it can fight without significant US assistance. Ukraine will not back down just because aid decreases, and US withdrawal might actually unlock options for a Ukrainian victory.
October 2024 · 2
North Korean Troops in Ukraine are Worse Than You Think
Paul J. Warburg
North Korea entering the war is not a sign of Russia's geopolitical strength, but actually a sign of Russia's immense geopolitical weakness. Expect this to be a whole big nothing burger.
Is Ukraine About to Get Nuclear Weapons Again?
Paul J. Warburg
Ukraine faces an existential threat that makes nuclear rearmament a theoretical necessity if NATO membership fails. While immediate development seems unlikely, the strategic calculus shifts as Russia alters its doctrine.
Drawing: photo Press Service of the President of Ukraine, CC BY 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons, redrawn in our house style.